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Businessweek

Companies to Watch in 2025

From AstraZeneca to Vodacom, keep an eye on these global stocks this year.

By Bloomberg Businessweek
Illustrations by Bryson Lee

December 11, 2024 at 12:01 AM EST
 

Analysts at Bloomberg Intelligence—who track some 2,000 companies in industries ranging from apparel and autos to finance and food—have identified 50 worth watching carefully in the year ahead. The analysis combines possible catalysts for change such as new leadership, asset sales or acquisitions, and plans for new products and services. When building the list, BI focused on the potential effects of policies of the incoming US administration, ongoing geopolitical conflicts, and rapid changes that include the rise of artificial intelligence and electric vehicles. —Tim Craighead

All figures compiled or calculated based on the most recent company reports and Bloomberg consensus estimates. Market capitalization figures as of Dec. 1, 2024.

Industrials: HR and recruitment

Adecco

Market cap ($b)

4.5

Top executive

Denis Machuel

2025 estimated revenue change

+2

2025 estimated sales ($b)

25

Legal name

Adecco Group AG

The recruiter has seen earnings drop for the past three years as clients took in fewer temporary workers and low staff turnover kept a lid on replacement hiring. Election clarity, lower inflation and falling interest rates should help boost confidence and increase staffing demand, pointing to a return to earnings growth for Adecco, which generates 75% of its revenue from placing temporary workers. —Stuart Gordon

Communication: Telecommunications

Advanced Info Service

Market cap ($b)

24

Top executive

Somchai Lertsutiwong

2025 estimated revenue change

+3

2025 estimated sales ($b)

6.3

Legal name

Advanced Info Service Pcl

The Thai telecommunications carrier’s 2025 profit should surprise on the upside as mobile users move to higher-priced packages and the company cuts unprofitable low-end plans. Those changes could reverse a three-year slide in average revenue generated per user, and income from roaming charges is likely to jump with expected growth in Thail tourism. —Chris Muckensturm

Industrials: Aerospace

Airbus

Market cap ($b)

120

Top executive

Guillaume Faury

2025 estimated revenue change

+10

2025 estimated sales ($b)

80

Legal name

Airbus SE

The European aerospace bellwether aims to boost profits and cash flow in 2025 with increased production of the top-selling A320. The company’s drive for higher volume will be a litmus test for a supply chain that has struggled to return to pre-pandemic levels of output. The difficulties at rival Boeing offer Airbus a chance to tighten its ties to key suppliers, which could help reinforce its market-share lead. —George Ferguson

Health care: Pharmaceuticals

AstraZeneca

Market cap ($b)

210

Top executive

Pascal Soriot

2025 estimated revenue change

+8

2025 estimated sales ($b)

57

Legal name

AstraZeneca Plc

A slew of late-stage data points is due in 2025 from clinical trials for new cancer and respiratory treatments, which will focus attention on the drugmaker’s industry-leading sales growth potential. A possible slowing of AstraZeneca’s China business, caused by both the weakening economy and an investigation into medical-insurance fraud by its former China head, may contribute to conservative management guidance for 2025-26. Still, midteens earnings growth looks achievable given the company’s global exposure and pipeline of new drugs. —John Murphy

Financials: Banks

Bank OZK

Market cap ($b)

5.6

Top executive

George Gleason

2025 estimated revenue change

0

2025 estimated sales ($b)

1.7

Legal name

Bank OZK

With the Federal Reserve easing rates, the Arkansas bank faces declining margins and slower loan growth. Bank OZK’s portfolio has more floating-rate loans (which will reprice lower with any rate cuts) than many of its peers, and its costs are likely to be stickier because it relies on fixed-rate certificates of deposit to fund its balance sheet. —Herman Chan

Technology: Semiconductors

Broadcom

Market cap ($b)

777

Top executive

Hock Tan

2025 estimated revenue change

+16

2025 estimated sales ($b)

62

Legal name

Broadcom Inc.

Providing a unique combination of advanced semiconductors and infrastructure software, the chipmaker is positioned for accelerated growth through 2025. Broadcom is among the leading suppliers of semiconductors used in advanced networks that connect artificial intelligence computers and data centers, and it has a growing business selling custom AI chips to Google and Meta Platforms Inc. Its purchase last year of VMware significantly expanded its software business, which now accounts for 40% of total revenue. —Kunjan Sobhani

Technology: Software

Cadence Design

Market cap ($b)

85

Top executive

Anirudh Devgan

2025 estimated revenue change

+13

2025 estimated sales ($b)

5.3

Legal name

Cadence Design Systems Inc.

Sales at the provider of software and hardware used by chipmakers to create and analyze semiconductors are poised to climb as the company closes more deals for higher-priced artificial-intelligence-enabled tools. Its next-generation offerings help design innovative products such as high-bandwidth memory and three-dimensional chips. Cadence sells its current lineup to 19 of the 20 largest semiconductor companies, and since it began rolling out its latest tools in 2024, it’s gotten early orders from major players like Nvidia Corp. and Samsung Electronics Co. —Niraj Patel

Materials: Aluminum

China Hongqiao

Market cap ($b)

14

Top executive

Zhang Bo

2025 estimated revenue change

+3

2025 estimated sales ($b)

21

Legal name

China Hongqiao Group Ltd.

Costs of alumina, the primary feedstock for aluminum, should fall with new supplies coming online. China’s economic stimulus and green infrastructure push will also support demand for the relatively easily recycled metal. And Hongqiao is also diversifying with a project in Guinea that contains the world’s largest and highest-grade reserves of iron ore. —Michelle Leung

Financials: Capital markets

Citic Securities

Market cap ($b)

57

Top executive

Zhang Youjun

2025 estimated revenue change

+14

2025 estimated sales ($b)

10

Legal name

Citic Securities Co.

Revenue at China’s largest broker is poised to benefit from Beijing’s push to boost stock market liquidity, and it could be among the two or three firms prioritized by regulators to expand overseas. Citic Securities’ Hong Kong unit, CLSA, is positioned for accelerating demand in offshore wealth-management products through several regulator-approved systems. It’s also poised for a pickup in initial public offerings on the Hong Kong exchange. —Sharnie Wong

Staples: Household products

Colgate

Market cap ($b)

78

Top executive

Noel Wallace

2025 estimated revenue change

+3

2025 estimated sales ($b)

21

Legal name

Colgate-Palmolive Co.

Hitting management’s growth guidance looks increasingly challenging for the maker of toothpaste and other consumer products. In early 2024, Colgate posted strong results, but a sharp slowdown in third-quarter sales for its North America business bodes poorly for 2025. For now, this downward trend offsets the long-term expansion opportunity in its Hill’s premium pet food, which the company says has reached just 5% of its target market in the US. —Diana Gomes

Industrials: Electrical equipment

Emerson Electric

Market cap ($b)

76

Top executive

Lal Karsanbhai

2025 estimated revenue change

+5

2025 estimated sales ($b)

18

Legal name

Emerson Electric Co.

Completing the proposed takeover of Aspen Tech—Emerson currently owns 57%—will strengthen the industrial automation company’s software offerings and allow it to reduce costs. Management’s guidance for total sales growth of 3% to 5% for 2025 also looks too conservative, with upside coming from accelerating US spending on factories and infrastructure projects. Emerson’s potential sale of its tools business could support larger stock repurchases as well. —Karen Ubelhart and Mustafa Okur

Real Estate: REIT

Essex Property

Market cap ($b)

20

Top executive

Angela Kleiman

2025 estimated revenue change

+4

2025 estimated sales ($b)

1.8

Legal name

Essex Property Trust Inc.

The California REIT’s apartment properties are poised to produce stronger rental growth, leading to higher revenue than analysts and investors expect. Essex’s West Coast markets, which continue to benefit from tight housing supply and solid demand, should outperform Sun Belt growth through 2025. —Jeff Langbaum

Staples: Cosmetics

Estée Lauder

Market cap ($b)

26

Top executive

Stéphane de La Faverie

2025 estimated revenue change

+5

2025 estimated sales ($b)

15

Legal name

Estée Lauder Cos.

The skin-care company’s plan to rekindle profitability is running into delays. If new CEO Stephane de La Faverie, who moves into the corner office in January, decides to take more aggressive action, restructuring costs could exceed the $500 million to $700 million announced last February. A lack of a competitive edge from subsidiary brands such as Mac and Too Faced and an outsize dependence on troubled Asian duty-free shops for its Estée Lauder and La Mer lines will keep a lid on sales for 2025. —Deborah Aitken

Communication: Media

Fox

Market cap ($b)

20

Top executive

Lachlan Murdoch

2025 estimated revenue change

+3

2025 estimated sales ($b)

15

Legal name

Fox Corp.

Even as streaming threatens to upend traditional broadcast TV, Fox is poised to deliver $3.5 billion in operating profit for the year ending in June 2025. A potent mix of news and live sports channels keeps the company firmly entrenched in legacy TV’s sweet spot, with record spending on political ads, Super Bowl promotions and robust ratings at Fox News playing to its advantage. —Geetha Ranganathan

Financials: Banks

HSBC

Market cap ($b)

167

Top executive

Georges Elhedery

2025 estimated revenue change

-2

2025 estimated sales ($b)

65

Legal name

HSBC Holdings Plc

If HSBC’s new CEO successfully implements a planned streamlining effort, 2026 pretax profit could be about $2.4 billion higher than expected, with estimates rising through 2025. While the market appears focused on risks related to China’s slowing economy, the bank has taken provisions against property losses, and there’s room for it to aggressively cut costs. Revenue at its asset-management unit is also benefiting from growing wealth in Asia. —Tomasz Noetzel

Communication: Entertainment

Imax

Market cap ($b)

1.3

Top executive

Rich Gelfond

2025 estimated revenue change

+10

2025 estimated sales ($b)

416

Legal name

Imax Corp.

The entertainment technology company, known for its gargantuan screens, is likely to buck an uncertain outlook for traditional box-office demand based on soft consumer spending. Imax is positioned to see profit growth of about 16% annually through 2026, driven by share gains in both mature and emerging markets. Theater operators including AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc. and Wanda Film Holding Co. are installing its systems, and directors such as James Cameron are using its technology to produce their films. —Kevin Near

Health care: Medical devices

Insulet

Market cap ($b)

19

Top executive

Jim Hollingshead

2025 estimated revenue change

+18

2025 estimated sales ($b)

2.4

Legal name

Insulet Corp.

The medical device marker’s US approval for the Omnipod 5—the first wearable automated insulin delivery system—should propel sales growth by almost 20% in 2025 after a strong start in 2024. Insulet’s technology should help support market-share gains in the treatment of people with Type 1 diabetes, as it becomes the standard of care. The expected additional approval for the Omnipod 5 to support Type 2 patients should further bolster the company’s revenue. —Matt Henriksson

Communication: Media

ITV

Market cap ($b)

3.3

Top executive

Carolyn McCall

2025 estimated revenue change

-2

2025 estimated sales ($b)

4.4

Legal name

ITV Plc

With lackluster demand for both content and TV advertising, the operating profit of the independent UK broadcaster risks falling short of market expectations in 2025. Estimates predicting a rebound for ITV’s studio arm—which accounts for about half of its top-line growth—seem to ignore these challenges. And a temporary ad-sales boost from the broadcasting of European Championship soccer games last summer creates a high bar for growth comparisons in 2025. —Tom Ward

Technology: Semiconductor equipment

KLA

Market cap ($b)

89

Top executive

Rick Wallace

2025 estimated revenue change

+11

2025 estimated sales ($b)

12

Legal name

KLA Corp.

As semiconductor foundries take on advanced chips such as the high-bandwidth memory needed for high-performance artificial intelligence servers, sales of KLA’s tools for inspecting and measuring them for consistency and defects are poised to surge. The company is the market leader in such equipment, which chipmakers need to ensure quality and keep production flowing smoothly. —Masahiro Wakasugi

Financials: Banks

Kotak Mahindra Bank

Market cap ($b)

41

Top executive

Ashok Vaswani

2025 estimated revenue change

-11

2025 estimated sales ($b)

7.5

Legal name

Kotak Mahindra Bank Ltd.

With a central bank ban on its opening new credit card and online accounts, the Indian bank’s profit targets look difficult to meet. Kotak Mahindra, with its relatively small branch network, is more reliant on digital banking than its peers. That puts its growth in jeopardy, even as it seeks to bolster its technology systems and compliance following early 2024 digital outages that kept customers from accessing accounts. —Sarah Jane Mahmud

Technology: Semiconductors

Micron Technology

Market cap ($b)

109

Top executive

Sanjay Mehrotra

2025 estimated revenue change

+39

2025 estimated sales ($b)

42

Legal name

Micron Technology Inc.

The year looks promising for the chipmaker as demand for its high-bandwidth memory chips accelerates and sales of other AI-related products keep growing. In addition, as rival makers of memory limit production of lower-bandwidth products, supplies are likely to be constrained, lifting chip prices and supporting Micron’s profit margins in this segment as well. —Jake Silverman

Technology: Gaming

Nintendo

Market cap ($b)

77

Top executive

Shuntaro Furukawa

2025 estimated revenue change

+27

2025 estimated sales ($b)

11

Legal name

Nintendo Co.

The successor to the Switch console isn’t expected in the fiscal year ending in March, and the delayed rollout could weaken results. Heavier operating costs before the new gadget’s debut add to profit risks as Nintendo’s now-outdated consoles weigh on hardware and software sales. —Nathan Naidu

Financials: Banks

Nordea

Market cap ($b)

39

Top executive

Frank Vang-Jensen

2025 estimated revenue change

-2

2025 estimated sales ($b)

12

Legal name

Nordea Bank Abp

The Scandinavian bank’s €250 million ($264 million) share buyback announced last quarter should be seen as just a start, with such purchases and dividends combined to likely top €1 billion in coming years—far exceeding market expectations. Nordea’s profitable Nordic commercial and consumer businesses, strong asset quality and the buffer it’s created against bad loans all support the surprising returns to shareholders. —Mar’Yana Vartsaba

Industrials: Railroad

Norfolk Southern

Market cap ($b)

62

Top executive

Mark George

2025 estimated revenue change

+4

2025 estimated sales ($b)

13

Legal name

Norfolk Southern Corp.

After suffering a difficult two years—a devastating derailment, a contentious proxy battle and the termination of its CEO—the railroad can expect better prospects in 2025. A refocus on operating a safer and more efficient network, along with a recovering trucking market that helps its intermodal business, bodes well for Norfolk Southern’s volumes and profit margins. —Lee Klaskow

Technology: Software

Okta

Market cap ($b)

14

Top executive

Todd McKinnon

2025 estimated revenue change

+9

2025 estimated sales ($b)

2.8

Legal name

Okta Inc.

The continued threat of hacking has set the security software provider up for a sales resurgence in 2025, despite suffering some debilitating breaches itself in 2023. Okta’s customer retention rates are stabilizing, and the company is adding new clients. Identity security (where Okta is a leader) is also poised to grow, given the vast numbers of compromised passwords still in use. —Mandeep Singh

Energy: Oil

OMV

Market cap ($b)

13

Top executive

Alfred Stern

2025 estimated revenue change

-6

2025 estimated sales ($b)

35

Legal name

OMV AG

An improving political situation in Libya, which accounts for about 10% of the Austrian company’s capacity, should boost OMV’s oil production. And the profitability of its chemical business is recovering from 2023’s losses. These factors put OMV on track to beat earnings estimates in 2025 while sustaining its strong balance sheet and hefty dividend payout. —Salih Yilmaz

Technology: Software

Palantir

Market cap ($b)

151

Top executive

Alex Karp

2025 estimated revenue change

+25

2025 estimated sales ($b)

3.5

Legal name

Palantir Technologies Inc.

While the software company has benefited from sessions aimed at giving clients a better understanding of how artificial intelligence can help their businesses, the market’s revenue expectations appear overly optimistic. Palantir’s customer base remains relatively small, and it’s behind rivals such as OpenAI, Anthropic, Meta Platforms and Google in deploying its own large language model. —Mandeep Singh

Financials: Payment processing

PayPal

Market cap ($b)

87

Top executive

Alex Chriss

2025 estimated revenue change

+6

2025 estimated sales ($b)

33

Legal name

PayPal Holdings Inc.

New partnerships with Adyen and Amazon Prime as well as efforts to monetize undertapped assets like Venmo’s and Paypal’s services for small and medium-size businesses should support surprisingly strong revenue growth and operating margins. About $6 billion in share buybacks will further boost earnings per share. —Diksha Gera

Discretionary: Homebuilding

Persimmon

Market cap ($b)

5.1

Top executive

Dean Finch

2025 estimated revenue change

+10

2025 estimated sales ($b)

4

Legal name

Persimmon Plc

The UK builder is on track to complete at least 12,000 homes in 2025, versus market expectations of 11,500. Improving demand, lower mortgage rates, a wealth of new developments and a relaxation of government planning constraints augur greater building volumes and pretax profits that exceed expectations. —Iwona Honenko

Discretionary: Autos

Porsche

Market cap ($b)

57

Top executive

Oliver Blume

2025 estimated revenue change

+5

2025 estimated sales ($b)

43

Legal name

Dr. Ing. h.c. F. Porsche AG

The German automaker is raising prices—the average sticker on a 911 has jumped almost a third since 2019—and its super-wealthy clients don’t seem to mind. This will help lift operating margins to about 18% in 2025-26, narrowing the gap with industry leader Ferrari SpA and its 28% margins. Porsche’s five new models during 2024-25, including a 911 hybrid and refreshed versions of the Panamera and Cayenne, will help further boost volumes and prices. And flagging interest in less-profitable electric vehicles should also enhance profitability. —Michael Dean

Staples: Beverages

Rémy Cointreau

Market cap ($b)

3.1

Top executive

Éric Vallat

2025 estimated revenue change

+2

2025 estimated sales ($b)

1.1

Legal name

Rémy Cointreau

The French booze maker has been suffering as high interest rates make it too costly for wholesalers to hold inventories of pricey spirits such as cognac. Tariffs as high as 39% on brandy and cognac sales to China announced in October add to the pain. But with interest rates falling and consumer confidence stabilizing, a US sales rebound should be in the cards for 2025. —Duncan Fox

Energy: Electric utility

RWE

Market cap ($b)

25

Top executive

Markus Krebber

2025 estimated revenue change

-3

2025 estimated sales ($b)

26

Legal name

RWE AG

The German utility is on track to beat profit estimates as power prices stabilize and it expands solar and wind capacity. RWE’s 2023 acquisition of Con Edison Clean Energy has positioned it for accelerated expansion in the US, where it’s poised to jump to the No. 2 spot in renewable energy capacity by 2027. Rising demand for green power tied to artificial intelligence also points toward faster growth. —Patricio Alvarez

Discretionary: Airports

Shanghai Airport

Market cap ($b)

12

Top executive

Zhang Yongdong

2025 estimated revenue change

+12

2025 estimated sales ($b)

1.9

Legal name

Shanghai International Airport Co.

Despite Beijing’s efforts to goose the economy, Shanghai Airport’s profits are set to disappoint. While passenger traffic has recovered to pre-Covid levels and is likely to climb, rental revenue from concourse shops, which is linked to retail sales, is falling short. During the pandemic, consumers in China pivoted away from airport purchases and toward buying online and at local stores. —Denise Wong

Materials: Mining

Sibanye Stillwater

Market cap ($b)

2.9

Top executive

Neal Froneman

2025 estimated revenue change

+4

2025 estimated sales ($b)

6.3

Legal name

Sibanye Stillwater Ltd.

As Americans and Europeans cool on electric vehicles, combustion-engine and hybrid cars are accounting for a greater share of purchases, driving demand for platinum needed in their construction. That offers the prospect of higher earnings in 2025 for miner Sibanye Stillwater after three straight years of declines. The South African company could also see higher prices for palladium if additional sanctions are imposed on Russia, a major supplier of the metal. And with a quarter of the company’s revenue coming from gold mining, recent record prices offer an additional cushion. —Emmanuel Munjeri

Industrials: Lighting

Signify

Market cap ($b)

2.9

Top executive

Eric Rondolat

2025 estimated revenue change

+2

2025 estimated sales ($b)

6.6

Legal name

Signify NV

Homebuyers are usually keen to make the house their own, which often means switching out the light fixtures. That’s why the world’s largest lighting company can expect to see demand for its products strengthen, as falling interest rates in the US and Europe make mortgages more affordable, spurring property transactions. Signify is also proactively cutting costs of more than €200 million annually, helping to boost profit margins. —Bhawin Thakker

Energy: Oil services

SLB

Market cap ($b)

62

Top executive

Olivier Le Peuch

2025 estimated revenue change

+5

2025 estimated sales ($b)

38

Legal name

Schlumberger NV

After a stretch of soft oil and gas prices, energy investors are understandably fixated on data showing fewer drilling rigs being used for exploration, but expectations appear too pessimistic for the global oilfield services leader. About 30% of SLB’s business is centered on helping producers boost output from existing sites, and when the company closes its acquisition of production-chemicals maker ChampionX in early 2025, these businesses will approach 40% of revenue. —Scott Levine

Energy: Oil services

Subsea 7

Market cap ($b)

4.9

Top executive

John Evans

2025 estimated revenue change

+6

2025 estimated sales ($b)

7.2

Legal name

Subsea 7 SA

Growth in offshore energy projects augurs increased revenue and profit margins for the marine construction company. Strong orders for conventional oil and gas installations have been complemented by rising interest in offshore wind farms. The increased demand means Subsea 7 will likely benefit from higher-margin contracts across many regions. —Will Hares

Real Estate: Property developer

Sun Hung Kai

Market cap ($b)

29

Top executive

Raymond Kwok Ping-luen

2025 estimated revenue change

+2

2025 estimated sales ($b)

11

Legal name

Sun Hung Kai Properties Ltd.

The Hong Kong developer is poised for a rebound in revenue and earnings after suffering through a depressed housing market over the past two years. Falling interest rates will likely speed up sales of completed homes, and contracts for unbuilt properties could be more than 20% above their targets. An economic stimulus package from China has boosted interest from mainland buyers for new projects on Hong Kong Island and in Kowloon. —Patrick Wong

Discretionary: Apparel

Tapestry

Market cap ($b)

14

Top executive

Joanne Crevoiserat

2025 estimated revenue change

+3

2025 estimated sales ($b)

6.9

Legal name

Tapestry Inc.

The leather-goods maker is strengthening the lineup at its leading label, Coach, whose sales have managed to beat a recent slowdown in the purchase of midlevel luxury goods. With North America accounting for about two-thirds of those sales, a pickup in US consumer sentiment could lift its Kate Spade brand as well. After agreeing to terminate a merger with Capri Holdings Ltd., owner of the struggling Michael Kors label, Tapestry has the financial firepower to look for other deals and increase its share buybacks. —Deborah Aitken

Health care: Services

Teladoc

Market cap ($b)

1.9

Top executive

Chuck Divita

2025 estimated revenue change

-1

2025 estimated sales ($b)

2.5

Legal name

Teladoc Health Inc.

The virtual health-care provider is trying to heal itself after high marketing costs at its BetterHelp mental health unit sparked a significant disappointment in mid-2024. With new CEO Chuck Divita, who took over in June, Teladoc is pursuing international expansion and a deeper integration into insurance plans. But those efforts are moving ahead slowly, making the market’s expectations for the first half of 2025 appear overly optimistic. —Jonathan Palmer

Discretionary: Autos

Tesla

Market cap ($b)

1,146

Top executive

Elon Musk

2025 estimated revenue change

+17

2025 estimated sales ($b)

117

Legal name

Tesla Inc.

The electric-vehicle maker plans to introduce a slew of fresh models in 2025, which will help expand its reach to new buyers, boost profits and showcase advancements in its artificial intelligence and self-driving tech. Early in the year, Tesla is due to roll out a lower-priced car, followed by a major refresh for its bestselling Model Y. —Steve Man

Staples: Beverages

Thai Beverage

Market cap ($b)

11

Top executive

Thapana Sirivadhanabhakdi

2025 estimated revenue change

-10

2025 estimated sales ($b)

8.7

Legal name

Thai Beverage Pcl

The maker of Chang beer and a slew of whiskey and rum brands is in the midst of a restructuring that will increase its nonalcoholic-beverage offerings and offload a stake in a property company. These actions should boost earnings growth in 2025 more than the market expects, and a planned initial public offering of its beer operations should provide more visibility for this key business. —Lisa Lee

Energy: Utility

Tokyo Electric Power

Market cap ($b)

74

Top executive

Yoshimitsu Kobayashi

2025 estimated revenue change

0

2025 estimated sales ($b)

46

Legal name

Tokyo Electric Power Co. Holdings

The electric utility’s profit margin is poised to widen as the Japanese government encourages nuclear energy—a big shift from the hiatus following the partial meltdown of the Fukushima facility in 2011. Nuclear energy is Japan’s cheapest source of power, but almost half of Tepco’s capacity has been out of commission. Restarting plants should boost earnings expectations. —Kelvin Ng

Industrials: Logistics

UPS

Market cap ($b)

114

Top executive

Carol Tomé

2025 estimated revenue change

+4

2025 estimated sales ($b)

95

Legal name

United Parcel Service Inc.

The shipping company is poised for profit growth in the mid- to high teens in 2025 and beyond, thanks to productivity and restructuring programs. UPS divested its freight brokerage unit in September, and targeted price increases are fattening margins as freight demand improves. The ramp-up of its air cargo contract with the US Postal Service, which began in 2024, will also add to UPS’ core parcel business. —Lee Klaskow

Materials: Mining

Vale

Market cap ($b)

44

Top executive

Gustavo Pimenta

2025 estimated revenue change

+2

2025 estimated sales ($b)

38

Legal name

Vale SA

There are three reasons investors can expect a bright 2025 for the world’s No. 2 iron ore producer. The most important: China’s recently announced economic stimulus plans. A global recovery in steel mill margins should also give Vale’s higher-grade iron ore products a boost, and the company expects two new iron ore projects to be commissioned by mid-2025. —Grant Spoore

Industrials: Machinery

VAT Group

Market cap ($b)

12

Top executive

Urs Gantner

2025 estimated revenue change

+27

2025 estimated sales ($b)

1.4

Legal name

VAT Group AG

The Swiss equipment maker’s high-performance valves are used to create vacuums that are critical in chip manufacturing. Consensus profit estimates look too low given accelerated spending growth in leading-edge semiconductor facilities around the world along with China’s investment in older-generation chips as it contends with US trade restrictions. —Omid Vaziri

Communication: Telecommunications

Vodacom

Market cap ($b)

12

Top executive

Shameel Joosub

2025 estimated revenue change

+6

2025 estimated sales ($b)

8.7

Legal name

Vodacom Group Ltd.

As South Africa’s political turmoil eases and the new coalition government hits its stride, economic sentiment is improving. That makes current 2025 profit estimates for the country’s largest telecommunications operator look conservative. Vodacom’s revenue growth and profit margins should improve as unemployment falls and electric outages subside, boosting demand for its services. —John Davies

Industrials: Waste management

Waste Management

Market cap ($b)

90

Top executive

James Fish Jr.

2025 estimated revenue change

+11

2025 estimated sales ($b)

24

Legal name

Waste Management Holdings Inc.

The top US garbage hauler’s $7 billion acquisition of Stericycle in 2024 looks challenging for the year ahead, given the medical-waste disposal company’s history of earnings disappointments and restructurings. And with little overlap with WM’s core trash and landfill business, cost synergies will be limited. The purchase price will push WM’s debt burden well above historical norms, adding balance sheet risks. —Scott Levine

Materials: Palm oil

Wilmar

Market cap ($b)

15

Top executive

Kuok Khoon Hong

2025 estimated revenue change

+4

2025 estimated sales ($b)

71

Legal name

Wilmar International Ltd.

As China’s population ages, consumption of cooking oil there is headed for a fall, presenting a long-term growth challenge to the Singapore-based palm oil producer. People tend to cook with less oil after age 40, now the median age in the world’s second-most populous country, where Wilmar has a 38% market share of branded cooking oil and gets about half its sales. —Alvin Tai

Technology: Software

Workday

Market cap ($b)

67

Top executive

Carl Eschenbach

2025 estimated revenue change

+13

2025 estimated sales ($b)

9.4

Legal name

Workday Inc.

The software provider could see a notable boost in the number of new contracts in the second half of 2025, driven by midsize businesses buoyed by lower interest rates. A revival in bookings for Workday’s offerings should help it bring revenue growth back up to the high teens, allaying concerns that emerged among investors over the past two years. —

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